Ecosystem carbon dioxide emissions are known to be higher in warmer climates, leading to concerns that global warming could accelerate emissions and intensify the greenhouse effect, thereby worsening climate change.

This acceleration only occurs in environments where there is sufficient moisture, according to a study published in Nature Ecology & Evolution by researchers from Stockholm University.

“All organisms need water to live and both plants and soil microorganisms lower their metabolism in dry conditions. As a result, ecosystems release less carbon dioxide when soils are dry,” explained Stefano Manzoni, an associate professor at the Department of Physical Geography, Stockholm University, and co-author of the study.

While most research has focused on temperature’s role in increasing metabolic rates and emissions, this new study emphasizes the critical role of water in this process. It reveals for the first time that there are specific precipitation thresholds necessary to keep soil moist enough to sustain the positive feedback loop from increased ecosystem metabolism.

Once precipitation falls below these thresholds, warming alone will not further increase metabolic rates or exacerbate climate change. These thresholds vary globally, with warmer regions requiring more precipitation to maintain adequate moisture in ecosystems. Therefore, the water cycle plays a crucial role in determining carbon dioxide emissions.

This discovery has significant implications, as many regions may fall short of the necessary precipitation thresholds, making them less responsive to warming because water becomes the most limiting factor.

“To refine our understanding of where and when water becomes limiting, as well as the net impact on carbon dioxide emissions, we need to focus our research efforts on hydroclimate and future water cycle changes,” concluded co-author Jerker Jarsjö, a professor at the Department of Physical Geography, Stockholm University.

Journal Reference:
Zhang, Q., Yi, C., Destouni, G. et al. ‘Water limitation regulates positive feedback of increased ecosystem respiration’, Nature Ecology & Evolution (2024). DOI: 10.1038/s41559-024-02501-w

Article Source:
Press Release/Material by Stockholm University
Featured image: Respiration from dry ecosystems is less sensitive to temperature Credit: wirestock | Freepik

Image: Aerial image of a kelp forest off the coast of California
Marine protected areas help kelp forests recover from marine heatwavesClimate

Marine protected areas help kelp forests recover from marine heatwaves

Marine Protected Areas can boost the recovery of globally important kelp forests following marine heatwaves, according to new research in Journal of Applied Ecology Summary:…
SourceSourceAugust 19, 2025 Full article
Image
Natural carbon sinks alone cannot halt global warmingClimate

Natural carbon sinks alone cannot halt global warming

In a new study1, led by the University of Oxford’s Department of Physics and published in Nature, an international group of authors who developed the…
SourceSourceNovember 18, 2024 Full article
Image: sea waves crashing over rock formations (s. storm)
Climate change is reshaping spring storm patterns across the North AtlanticClimate

Climate change is reshaping spring storm patterns across the North Atlantic

Researchers found that spring storms are becoming more common over the North Atlantic, while Arctic spring cyclones are growing stronger and longer-lived Summary: More spring…
SourceSourceJune 5, 2026 Full article