Summary:
Experiencing a climate disaster like a wildfire may do more than just cause emotional distress — it can also alter how people make decisions. In a study published in Scientific Reports, researchers from the University of California San Diego examined the cognitive effects of climate-related trauma in survivors of the 2018 Camp Fire, one of the most destructive wildfires in California’s history. They found that individuals directly exposed to the fire were significantly less likely to make decisions that prioritized long-term benefits, compared to people who witnessed the fire without direct exposure and those not exposed at all.
Participants were asked to complete a decision-making task involving choices with short-term versus cumulative rewards while their brain activity was monitored using EEG. Survivors who had direct exposure showed reduced “Win-Stay” behavior — a tendency to stick with choices offering higher long-term value — and elevated activity in a part of the brain associated with rumination and self-referential thought, the posterior cingulate cortex.
The findings suggest that climate trauma can affect not just mood or emotional wellbeing, but also the neurological processes that govern decision-making. This insight may guide the development of interventions like mindfulness training for disaster-affected communities. The research adds a new layer to our understanding of climate change’s mental health toll.
Climate-related trauma can have lasting effects on decision-making, study finds
The new study from University of California San Diego suggests that climate trauma — such as experiencing a devastating wildfire — can have lasting effects on cognitive function.
The research, which focused on survivors of the 2018 Camp Fire in Northern California, found that individuals directly exposed to the disaster had difficulty making decisions that prioritize long-term benefits.
“Our previous research has shown that survivors of California’s 2018 Camp Fire experience prolonged symptoms of post-traumatic stress disorder, anxiety and depression alongside hyper-distractibility,” said Jyoti Mishra, Ph.D., senior author and an associate professor at UC San Diego’s School of Medicine and co-director of the University of California Climate Resilience Initiative. “This new study suggests that climate trauma may also impact important cognitive abilities of decision-making and underlying brain function.”
Wildfires, which have become increasingly frequent due to climate change, are known to affect both physical and mental health. This study provides new evidence that cognitive function — particularly decision-making — is also impacted.
The study involved 75 participants, divided into three groups:
- Directly exposed to the fire (n=27)
- Indirectly exposed (witnessed the fire but were not directly affected, n=21)
- Non-exposed controls (n=27)
All participants completed a decision-making task with monetary rewards while undergoing Electroencephalogram (EEG) brain recordings. Researchers evaluated their Win-Stay behavior, measuring how often they continued selecting the option with the highest long-term rewards.
Researchers found that wildfire survivors were significantly less likely to stick with choices that offered long-term rewards, a behavior they tracked with a choice metric known as “Win-Stay.” Brain recordings revealed a possible reason why. EEG brain scans taken while participants engaged in the decision-making tasks showed heightened activity in the parietal brain region, and localized to the posterior cingulate cortex (PCC) — a brain region associated with deep thought and rumination.
“It was clear that brains of study participants directly exposed to wildfires — as opposed to those not exposed — became significantly hyper-aroused when trying to make proper decision choices but they were still unable to execute the task well,” said Jason Nan, a UC San Diego bioengineering graduate student and study first author. “We interpret this to mean that their brain was attempting to focus on making sound decisions, but they were unable to.”
Understanding how climate trauma affects decision-making could lead to new diagnostic tools and personalized treatments for those impacted. One potential intervention is mindfulness and compassion training, which has shown promise in suppressing ruminating thoughts and thereby, mitigating the effects of trauma. Mobilizing early post-disaster intervention resources is a key priority of the California Climate Resilience Initiative.
As climate disasters become more frequent and more severe, researchers emphasize the need to: study pre- vs. post-disaster cognitive changes, investigate long-term effects of repeated exposure to climate trauma and develop scalable mental health interventions for affected communities.
Co-authors include: Satish Jaiswal and Dhakshin Ramanathan from UC San Diego, and Mathew C. Withers from Utah Valley University.
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The study was funded, in part, by the Tang Prize Foundation, the Hope for Depression Research Foundation and the CA CARES (Climate Action, Resilience, and Environmental Sustainability) proof of concept funds.
Journal Reference:
Nan, J., Jaiswal, S., Ramanathan, D. et al., ‘Climate trauma from wildfire exposure impacts cognitive decision-making’, Scientific Reports 15, 11992 (2025). DOI: 10.1038/s41598-025-94672-0
Article Source:
Press Release/Material by University of California – San Diego
Featured image credit: David Peinado | Pexels
